TROPICAL UPDATES
Hurricane Spaghetti Models
2013 Names /  Season Peak
Model Types Model Accuracy MB's?
Storm History Tracks How Storms Form
What are Spaghetti Models? What's El Nino?
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Note: NHC updates their forecast track at 11pm, 5am, 11am, 5pm.  Computer models update on UTC time 6z, 12z, 18z, 00/24z.
Current Animated Satellite Current UTC Time:
   

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  MODEL PAGES: 
Animated Computer Model Run Pages:
FSU Model Page
Penn State Model Page
AmericanWX Model Page

Tropical Tidbits Model Page
Weather Online Model Page
GFS 'American' Model Page
ECMWF 'EURO' Model Page

  
  WEATHER IMAGE LINKS: 
August Average Areas of Origin:

Current Upper Wind Steering Map:
Current Lower Winds / Current Upper Winds

Wind Shear Maps:  definition



Jet Stream Pattern:  definition
Jet Stream Analysis Page

North Atlantic Water Vapor Loop:  definition

Water Sea Surface Temperatures:  definition

Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly:  definition

Tropical Cyclone Heat Potential:  definition

ASCAT/WindSAT Winds:  definition

Current MJO Forecast:  definition

Saharan Air Layer:  definition

850mb Vorticity Map:  definition

500mb Vorticity Map:  definition

200mb Vorticity Map:  definition

Current Lightning Strikes:
Live Real-Time Lightning Data
US Lightning Strikes
Current Graphic Showing U.S. Winds
WINDcast wind forecast:


Data Buoy Data:

Animated Surf and Wave Models
Gulf/Caribbean Wave Heights:

Atlantic Wave Heights:

U.S. Coastal Tide Charts
NOAA Marine Forecasts by Regions:


E-Mail Mike

  
 SPAGHETTI MODELS & MORE
Updated Tropical Computer Models, Links, Graphics, Maps
Download the NOAA 2013 Tropical Preparedness Guide

Satellite Loop of Gulf, Caribbean & Atlantic Here / Here
  
  INVEST 92 (AREA #1): 




Invest 92 Intensity Models

  
  INVEST 93 (AREA #2): 


Visible Satellite Loop:  definition

Water Vapor Loop:  definition

Rainbow Color Infared Loop:  definition

Africa Satellite:

Current Animated Radar:

LIVE Florida Radar   /  SE USA Radar
Animated Map Showing Precipitable Water:  definition

Current Surface Analysis:  definition

Surface Analysis Charts   /  7 Day Loop of Surface Analysis
  

  Information on the Tropical Cyclones: 
  Hurricane Season:      From June 1 - November 30
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone, which generally forms in the tropics and is accompanied by thunderstorms and a counterclockwise circulation of winds. Tropical cyclones are classified as follows:
  Tropical Depression: 

Organized system of clouds and thunderstorms with defined surface circulation and max sustained winds of 38 mph or less.

  Tropical Storm: 

Organized system of strong thunderstorms with a defined surface circulation and maximum sustained winds of 39-73 mph.

  Hurricane: 

Intense tropical weather system of strong thunderstorms with a well-defined surface circulation & max sustained winds of 74 mph or higher.

  What are some Hurricane Hazards? 
  Storm Surge: 

Water that is pushed toward the shore by the force of the winds swirling around the storm. This advancing surge combines with the normal tides to create the hurricane storm tide, which can increase the mean water level 15 feet or more.

  Inland Flooding:  

In the last 30 years, inland flooding has been responsible for more than half the deaths associated with tropical cyclones in the US.

  High Winds: 

Hurricane force winds can destroy poorly constructed buildings and mobile homes. Debris such as signs, roofing material, and small items left outside become flying missiles in hurricanes.

  Tornados: 

Hurricanes can produce tornadoes that add to the storm's destructive power. Tornados are most likely to occur in the right-front quadrant of the hurricane.


  What should I do with a Watch or Warning? 
When a Hurricane Watch is issued for your part of the coast this indicates the possibility that you could experience hurricane conditions within 36 hours. This watch should trigger your family's disaster plan, and proactive measures should be initiated especially those actions that require extra time such as securing a boat, leaving a barrier island, etc.
When a Hurricane Warning is issued for your part of the coast this indicates that sustained winds of at least 74 mph are expected within 24 hours. Once this warning has been issued, your family should be in the process of completing proactive actions and deciding the safest location to be during the storm.

  Thanks to these sites for some of their content: 
www.wunderground.com
www.derecho.math.uwm.edu
www.sfwmd.gov
www.noaa.gov
www.accuweather.com

www.intellicast.com
www.weatherchannel.com
www.tropicaltidbits.com
www.tropic.ssec.wisc.edu - Courtesy of UW-Madison SSEC

  Link Exchange with Spaghetti Models: 
www.coastalcouponer.com
www.adriansweather.com
www.forecastingmethods.net
www.weathershack.com
www.panhandlepierfishing.com
www.gulfster.com
www.suburbantaxiofpinellas.com
www.partystations.webs.com
www.stormseye.webs.com


  Hardcore Weather with Pics/Videos/Stories: 
www.wtsp.com

*This site is for general information only and not to be used for any official forecasts. Weather is a hobby of mine (I live on Florida's West Coast) and having a site for friends and family with as many useful links for hurricane tracking and information is my objective. The site costs money to host and donations help in these costs and the time involved to keep it updated. Thank you for your help making the site grow every year since 2004. All this information is found on the Internet and is not authored by Mike. Watch local and National weather reports for your final weather making decisions.




      

 
  MIKE'S INTERACTIVE WDT WEATHER PAGE: 
Totally customizable, with Google Earth, Storm Chasers, MoreLive Custom Weather using GOOGLE Maps
Webcams:  Canaveral  /  Ft. Lauderdale  /  Miami  /  Key West
   
  NHC TROPICS DISCUSSIONS MAP:  


    
  5-DAY RAIN PREDICTION MAP: 

 
  TROPICAL FORMATION PERCENTAGE:  


  GLOBAL TROPICS HAZARDS MAP :  


  CURRENT SEVERE WEATHER HAZARDS: 
Click map to open and see highlighted color meanings

    
  STORM SURGE MAP: 
Surge Exceedance  /  Surge Probabilities  /  Storm Surge?

        
  FUTURE WEATHER FORECAST MAPS: 

12 Hour Forecast:                       Tomorrow Forecast:
12 hour weather forecast
24 hour weather forecast
2 Day Forecast:                            3 Day Forecast:
48 hour weather forecast 72 hour weather forecast
 

  STORM PREDICTION MAPS: 
Potential Energy Map:                Thunderstorm Outlook:

Day 1 Storm Outlook:                   Day 2 Storm Outlook:

  
  SOME GREAT WEATHER LINKS: 







  
  UPDATED BLOG ON THE TROPICS: 


 Essentials for your Hurricane Kit:
What to keep in stock in case of a storm
Hurricane Disaster Eating Guide
  
 Hurricane Preparedness:

A great site with tons of information
All about Window Shutters
  
 High Wind Risk Areas:
An Interactive Map/Chart
  
 Hurricane Season - Family Preparedness:
Hurricanes - Evacuate or Stay?
Family  & Individual Disaster Preparedness
What to do when a Hurricane Watch is Issued
Against the Wind - Protecting Your Home
Avoiding Storm Damage - Homeowners Checklist
Hurricane Fact Sheet from FEMA


 What Actions Should You Take To Be Prepared:
Have a family disaster plan and disaster supply kit.
Build or identify a Safe-Room in your Home.
Purchase a
NOAA Weather Radio with a tone alert feature, which allows you to receive warnings by your local NWS office.
Inquire if your Community is
StormReady.

  THANKS EVERYONE FOR  YOUR SUPPORT! 
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Mike was a guest caller on live radio talking about Isaac:

 

 

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www.racedayforecast.com
www.spaghettimodels.com/localweather



  Average Tropical Formations: 

June:
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August:
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October:
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