TROPICAL UPDATE
Hurricane Spaghetti Models
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2012 Names   Season Peak
Hurricane:  History  /  Tracks

Model:  Types  /  Accuracy

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  WEATHER LINKS:
Computer Model Runs:
GFS  Animated ECMWF (Euro)
See Several Models Here
Long Range GFS Page
  
Radar on a Google Earth Map:
See Your LIVE Local RADAR
  
June Hurricane Areas of Origin:


Accuweather Forecast:

850mb Vorticity Map: definition

Upper Level Jet Stream Pattern:

Wind Shear Tendency Map:

Current Upper Air Pattern:


Satellite Image Loop:

Water Vapor Loop #1:

Water Vapor Loop #2:

Current MJO Forecast:

Water Sea Temperatures:

Mariners 1-2-3 Rule:

WINDcast wind forecast:

National Data Buoy Data:

Gulf Wave Height:

Atlantic Wave Height:

More animated Waves Page
WUnderground Live Radar:
SE Local Radar

Accuweather WeatherWhys:

Hurricane Areas of Origin:
June

July

August

September

October

November


   
 
 Web LIVE as of .  Mike's Twitter & Facebook Page  /  NHC Tropic Discussion  /  Tropical Blog  /  Spaghetti Models?  /  E-Mail Mike
  Mike's pages:  spaghettimodels.com - tropical news  /  mikesweatherpage.com - custom city weather pages  /  racedayforecast.com - Nascar forecast and radar
  Note: NHC updates their forecast track at 11pm, 5am, 11am, 5pm.  Computer models update on UTC time 6z, 12z, 18z, 00/24z (around 2pm, 8pm, 2am, 8am).  The clock is UTC time.
    

  
 SPAGHETTI MODELS & MORE

Updated Computer Models / Tropical Weather Links & Maps
 

Tropical Storm Alberto
NHC Potential Track:

[Image of 5-day forecast and coastal areas under a warning or a watch]
  

   Max Wind Probabilities:
[Image of probabilities of tropical storm force winds]
 

   Warnings / Surface Wind:
[Image of initial wind radii]




  
  SEVERE STORM PREDICTION MAPS: 
Day 1 Outlook:                           Day 3 Outlook:


Most Recent Tropical Surface Analysis
7 Day Loop of Tropical Surface Analysis

See Huge Satellite Loop of Gulf, Caribbean & Atlantic
Great Web Page Showing Current US Winds

It was IRENE.   

Nice site with an Interactive Hurricane Chart
The Navy has a good Hurricane Site


  What Is A Hurricane? 
 Hurricane Season:
  From June 1 - November 30
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone, which generally forms in the tropics and is accompanied by thunderstorms and a counterclockwise circulation of winds. Tropical cyclones are classified as follows:

 Tropical Depression:
  Organized system of clouds and thunderstorms with defined surface circulation and max sustained winds of 38 mph or less.
 Tropical Storm:   Organized system of strong thunderstorms with a defined surface circulation and maximum sustained winds of 39-73 mph.
 Hurricane:   Intense tropical weather system of strong thunderstorms with a well-defined surface circulation & max sustained winds of 74 mph or up.

  What Are The Hurricane Hazards? 
 Storm Surge  - Water that is pushed toward the shore by the force of the winds swirling around the storm. This advancing surge combines with the normal tides to create the hurricane storm tide, which can increase the mean water level 15 feet or more.
 Inland Flooding  - In the last 30 years, inland flooding has been responsible for more than half the deaths associated with tropical cyclones in the US.
 High Winds  
- Hurricane force winds can destroy poorly constructed buildings and mobile homes. Debris such as signs, roofing material, and small items left outside become flying missiles in hurricanes.
 Tornados  - Hurricanes can produce tornadoes that add to the storm's destructive power. Tornados are most likely to occur in the right-front quadrant of the hurricane.

  What Should I Do With a Watch or Warning?  
When a HURRICANE WATCH is issued for your part of the coast this indicates the possibility that you could experience hurricane conditions within 36 hours. This watch should trigger your family's disaster plan, and proactive measures should be initiated especially those actions that require extra time such as securing a boat, leaving a barrier island, etc.  When a HURRICANE WARNING is issued for your part of the coast this indicates that sustained winds of at least 74 mph are expected within 24 hours. Once this warning has been issued, your family should be in the process of completing proactive actions and deciding the safest location to be during the storm.

  I Would Like to Credit & Thank These Sites:
www.wunderground.com
www.FLHurricane.com
www.sfwmd.gov
www.noaa.gov
www.accuweather.com

www.intellicast.com

This site is for general information only and not to be used for any official forecasts.  Weather is a hobby of mine (I live on Florida's West Coast) and having a site for friends and family with as many useful links for hurricane tracking and information is my objective.  The site costs money to host and donations help in these costs and the time involved to keep it updated.

ABC's Denis Phillips mentions Mike's on his weather chat:


Weather Channel's Stephanie Abrams mentions Mike's:

  Hardcore Weather with Pics/Videos/Stories:
www.wtsp.com


  Link Exchange:

www.weathershack.com
www.wx4dab.com

www.panhandlepierfishing.com
 



 
  ALBERTO: 





Watch Weather Channels's Tropical Update
 Watch Accuweather's Tropical Update
  
  PACIFIC STORMS: 



  TROPICAL PREDICTION %: 

  
  RAIN PREDICTION MAP: 


  
  MIKE'S LOCAL WEATHER PAGES: 


  
  CURRENT WEATHER ALERTS: 

  
 UPDATED LIVE BLOG ON THE TROPICS:

wunderground.com/tropical

 Essentials for your Hurricane Kit:
What to keep stock in case of a storm

 Hurricane Preparedness Website:
A great site with tons of information


 High Wind Risk Areas:
An Interactive Map/Chart

 Hurricane Season - Family Preparedness:
Hurricanes - Evacuate or Stay?
Family  & Individual Disaster Preparedness
What to do when a Hurricane Watch is Issued
Against the Wind - Protecting Your Home
Avoiding Storm Damage - Homeowners Checklist
Hurricane Fact Sheet from FEMA

 What Actions Should You Take To Be Prepared:
Have a family disaster plan and disaster supply kit.
Build or identify a Safe-Room in your Home.  Purchase a
NOAA Weather Radio with a tone alert feature.  This allows you to receive warnings by your local National Weather Service office.  Inquire if your Community is StormReady.

 Check this Link out on Hurricane Eating:
Hurricane Disaster Eating Guide

MIKES WEATHER PAGES:
Click here for USA Map with Cities

Anchorage, AK
Asheville, NC
Atlanta, GA
Boston, MA
Bristol, TN
Brownsville, TX
Buffalo, NY
Charlotte, NC
Charleston, SC
Columbia, SC
Corpus Christi, TX
Darlington, SC
Dover, DE
Ft. Worth, TX
Fontana, CA
Galveston, TX
Hartford, CT
Hilton Head, SC
Honolulu, HI
Houston, TX
Kansas City, MO
Lafayette, LA
Las Vegas, NV
Martinsville, VA
Memphis, TN
Minneapolis, MN
Mobile, AL
Morehead City, NC
Myrtle Beach, SC
Nashville, TN

New Orleans, LA
New York, NY
 

Omaha, NE
Pittsburgh, PA
Phoenix, AZ
Portland, OR
Providence, RI
Raleigh, NC
Richmond, VA
Savannah, GA
Syracuse, NY
Talladega, AL
Tulsa, OK
Virginia Beach, VA
Wilmington, NC


Florida Cities:

Daytona Beach
Fort Lauderdale
Fort Myers
Gainesville
Homosassa
Jacksonville
Key West
Melbourne
Miami
Orlando
Panama City
Pensacola
Tallahassee
Tampa Bay
West Palm Beach



 

 

  
 
  

  
  Mike's Favorite Jimmy Buffett Tune:


Original video I had on the site

 Mike's Live Webcam from  Oldsmar, FL:
LIVE Florida Radar  /  Mike's cam with local radar

  Watch Denis Phillips Talk Weather & More:
Favorite meteorologist from Tampa - see his past videos here.
Join in live and ask questions.
Learn some great weather knowledge!
LIVE ABC Action News video page with Denis

 


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SE Local Radar
MIKE'S WEATHER PAGE WAS BORN IN 2004
*All this information is found on the Internet and is not authored by Mike.  Watch local and National weather reports for your final weather making decisions.
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